York United 1-0 Vancouver FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.34
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.29
6+ Goals
9%
12.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 30% vs market 23.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-8.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.1pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME York United EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver FC EU Bookmakers 23%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.37/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/2.08
+0% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / -24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
27.4 Crosses 12.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME York United
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Vancouver FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.17 xG 0.86
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
339 Passes 370
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2025 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 0-2 HT 0-0 York United York United KAPL
07.09.2024 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 0-1 HT 0-1 York United York United KAPL
21.07.2024 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 1-1 HT 0-0 York United York United KAPL
10.06.2024 York United York United 2-2 HT 2-1 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC CAPL
27.04.2024 York United York United 3-0 HT 0-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC CAPL
07.10.2023 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 1-2 HT 1-2 York United York United CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME York United
1-0
AWAY Vancouver FC
0.89 xG 0.66
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 6
334 Passes 404
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
8 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH York United vs Vancouver FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York United squeezed past Vancouver FC 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had York United as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, York United had 46% of the ball to Vancouver FC's 54%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.89 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, York United had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for York United and 0.67 for Vancouver FC.

What was the final score of York United vs Vancouver FC?

York United 1-0 Vancouver FC in the Kanada - Premier League on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for York United vs Vancouver FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a York United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split York United 48%, draw 25%, Vancouver FC 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (York United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (York United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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25 May 2025
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