HFX Wanderers 2-0 Atletico Ottawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
43%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.5
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.18
6+ Goals
12%
11.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 26% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-7.6pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
43%
Away Win
32%
+10.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.8pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HFX Wanderers EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 36%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +12%
1.92/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.12
+33% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 78%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
15.8 Crosses 13.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HFX Wanderers
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.66 xG 1.65
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
368 Passes 333
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2025 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 2-2 HT 0-1 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
29.09.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-1 HT 1-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
24.08.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
02.06.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 2-2 HT 0-1 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
27.04.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-3 HT 0-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
19.09.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 3-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HFX Wanderers
2-0
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
1.83 xG 0.37
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 1
320 Passes 402
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 9
21 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH HFX Wanderers vs Atletico Ottawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HFX Wanderers saw off Atletico Ottawa 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Ottawa at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, HFX Wanderers had 46% of the ball to Atletico Ottawa's 54%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.83 to 0.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for HFX Wanderers and 1.83 for Atletico Ottawa.

What was the final score of HFX Wanderers vs Atletico Ottawa?

HFX Wanderers 2-0 Atletico Ottawa in the Kanada - Premier League on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HFX Wanderers vs Atletico Ottawa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Ottawa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split HFX Wanderers 34%, draw 23%, Atletico Ottawa 43%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Ottawa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Ottawa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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