07/07/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
KFA vs Kormakur / Hvöt Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
70%
23%
Draw
18%
24%
Away Win
13%
56%
Under 2.5
31%
44%
Over 2.5
69%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
KFA v Kormakur / Hvöt — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
KFA
EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY
Kormakur / Hvöt
EU Bookmakers 16%
-5% /
-5%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+28% /
+28%
1.99/1.27
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/0.00
-26%
/
-5%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
–
53%
Ball Possession
47%
13
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
436 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
345 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
KFA vs Kormakur / Hvöt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
KFA cruised past Kormakur / Hvöt 3-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had KFA as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of KFA vs Kormakur / Hvöt?
KFA 3-0 Kormakur / Hvöt in the Iceland - 2nd Division on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for KFA vs Kormakur / Hvöt?
Before kick-off our model rated a KFA win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split KFA 53%, draw 23%, Kormakur / Hvöt 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KFA), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (KFA)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
İZL2
More Iceland - 2nd Division
7 Jul 2024