Vikingur Olafsvik 3-1 AEgir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 2nd Division, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
2.63
Over 2.5
68%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
1.43
No
32%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-1.5pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.9pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.4pp
32%
Under 2.5
34%
-1.8pp
68%
Over 2.5
66%
+1.8pp
68%
BTTS Yes
66%
+2.1pp
32%
BTTS No
34%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vikingur Olafsvik EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY AEgir EU Bookmakers 28%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.61/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.40
+18% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +34%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
321 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vikingur Olafsvik
0W-0D-2L
AWAY AEgir
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
31.08.2021 AEgir AEgir 4-0 HT 2-0 Vikingur Olafsvik Vikingur Olafsvik İZL1
21.05.2021 Vikingur Olafsvik Vikingur Olafsvik 1-3 HT 0-3 AEgir AEgir İZL1
POST-MATCH Vikingur Olafsvik vs AEgir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vikingur Olafsvik got the better of AEgir 3-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vikingur Olafsvik as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (68%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, AEgir led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Vikingur Olafsvik and 3.50 for AEgir.

What was the final score of Vikingur Olafsvik vs AEgir?

Vikingur Olafsvik 3-1 AEgir in the Iceland - 2nd Division on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vikingur Olafsvik vs AEgir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vikingur Olafsvik win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Vikingur Olafsvik 53%, draw 24%, AEgir 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vikingur Olafsvik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vikingur Olafsvik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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