Chaco For Ever 0-1 Nueva Chicago — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.09
Draw
34%
2.77
Away
20%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.33
Over 2.5
30%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.6
No
61%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+2.0pp
34%
Draw
32%
+1.8pp
20%
Away Win
24%
-3.9pp
70%
Under 2.5
72%
-2.1pp
30%
Over 2.5
28%
+2.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
34%
+5.0pp
61%
BTTS No
66%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chaco For Ever EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Nueva Chicago EU Bookmakers 27%
+8% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.40/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/0.99
+12% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chaco For Ever
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Nueva Chicago
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
05.03.2024 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 2-0 HT 1-0 Chaco For Ever Chaco For Ever ARJPBN
28.05.2022 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 1-0 HT 0-0 Chaco For Ever Chaco For Ever ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Chaco For Ever vs Nueva Chicago
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nueva Chicago edged past Chaco For Ever 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Chaco For Ever at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nueva Chicago led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Chaco For Ever and 1.50 for Nueva Chicago.

What was the final score of Chaco For Ever vs Nueva Chicago?

Chaco For Ever 0-1 Nueva Chicago in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chaco For Ever vs Nueva Chicago?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chaco For Ever win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Chaco For Ever 46%, draw 34%, Nueva Chicago 20%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chaco For Ever) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chaco For Ever) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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