Alvarado 0-3 Agropecuario Argentino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.45
Over 2.5
44%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.16
No
49%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.9pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.4pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
65%
-9.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
35%
+9.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+9.2pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alvarado EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Agropecuario Argentino EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
1.32/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.16
+14% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alvarado
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Agropecuario Argentino
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
18.02.2024 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino 1-1 HT 0-0 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
01.10.2023 Alvarado Alvarado 1-2 HT 0-1 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino ARJPBN
20.05.2023 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino 3-1 HT 2-0 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
01.03.2022 Alvarado Alvarado 0-0 HT 0-0 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino ARJPBN
10.09.2021 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino 1-0 HT 0-0 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
04.05.2021 Alvarado Alvarado 2-0 HT 2-0 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Alvarado vs Agropecuario Argentino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Agropecuario Argentino cruised past Alvarado 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Alvarado at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Agropecuario Argentino led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Alvarado and 1.17 for Agropecuario Argentino.

What was the final score of Alvarado vs Agropecuario Argentino?

Alvarado 0-3 Agropecuario Argentino in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alvarado vs Agropecuario Argentino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alvarado win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Alvarado 41%, draw 28%, Agropecuario Argentino 31%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Alvarado) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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