Agropecuario Argentino 1-1 Alvarado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.33
No
63%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
55%
-4.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.6pp
37%
BTTS Yes
39%
-1.7pp
63%
BTTS No
61%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Agropecuario Argentino EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Alvarado EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.48/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.42
+6% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Agropecuario Argentino
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Alvarado
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
01.10.2023 Alvarado Alvarado 1-2 HT 0-1 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino ARJPBN
20.05.2023 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino 3-1 HT 2-0 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
01.03.2022 Alvarado Alvarado 0-0 HT 0-0 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino ARJPBN
10.09.2021 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino 1-0 HT 0-0 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
04.05.2021 Alvarado Alvarado 2-0 HT 2-0 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino ARJPBN
10.02.2020 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino 1-0 HT 0-0 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Agropecuario Argentino vs Alvarado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Agropecuario Argentino and Alvarado couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Agropecuario Argentino at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Agropecuario Argentino had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Agropecuario Argentino and 0.67 for Alvarado.

What was the final score of Agropecuario Argentino vs Alvarado?

Agropecuario Argentino 1-1 Alvarado in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Agropecuario Argentino vs Alvarado?

Before kick-off our model rated a Agropecuario Argentino win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Agropecuario Argentino 50%, draw 28%, Alvarado 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Agropecuario Argentino), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Agropecuario Argentino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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