Atletico Aldosivi 1-0 Defensores Unidos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
36%
2.88
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.41
Over 2.5
32%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.33
No
55%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
45%
-7.9pp
36%
Draw
31%
+5.1pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.8pp
68%
Under 2.5
67%
+0.5pp
32%
Over 2.5
33%
-0.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
39%
+5.9pp
55%
BTTS No
61%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Aldosivi EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensores Unidos EU Bookmakers 28%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.45/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.48
+11% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Atletico Aldosivi vs Defensores Unidos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Aldosivi edged past Defensores Unidos 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 36% / 27% — and on the day Atletico Aldosivi made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Atletico Aldosivi vs Defensores Unidos?

Atletico Aldosivi 1-0 Defensores Unidos in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Aldosivi vs Defensores Unidos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Aldosivi win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Atletico Aldosivi 37%, draw 36%, Defensores Unidos 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Aldosivi), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Aldosivi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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