Gimnasia Y Tiro 1-0 Atletico Rafaela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.36
Over 2.5
34%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.44
No
61%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
23%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.4pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.1pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.3pp
66%
Under 2.5
70%
-3.9pp
34%
Over 2.5
30%
+3.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
37%
+2.0pp
61%
BTTS No
63%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Y Tiro EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Rafaela EU Bookmakers 32%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +25%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.00
+65% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnasia Y Tiro
1-0
AWAY Atletico Rafaela
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 3
2 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atletico Rafaela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Y Tiro edged past Atletico Rafaela 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 33% / 29%) promised a tight game; Gimnasia Y Tiro found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gimnasia Y Tiro had 45% of the ball to Atletico Rafaela's 55%, shots finished 10-3.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atletico Rafaela?

Gimnasia Y Tiro 1-0 Atletico Rafaela in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atletico Rafaela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia Y Tiro win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Y Tiro 38%, draw 33%, Atletico Rafaela 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnasia Y Tiro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimnasia Y Tiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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