Arsenal Sarandi 2-0 Deportivo Maipu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.9pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.3pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.9pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Sarandi EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Maipu EU Bookmakers 29%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/0.92
-24% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
275 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal Sarandi
2-0
AWAY Deportivo Maipu
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
2 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Arsenal Sarandi vs Deportivo Maipu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Sarandi beat Deportivo Maipu 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arsenal Sarandi as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Arsenal Sarandi had 50% of the ball to Deportivo Maipu's 50%, shots finished 14-9.

What was the final score of Arsenal Sarandi vs Deportivo Maipu?

Arsenal Sarandi 2-0 Deportivo Maipu in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Sarandi vs Deportivo Maipu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal Sarandi win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Sarandi 44%, draw 24%, Deportivo Maipu 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal Sarandi), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal Sarandi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
18 Feb 2024
01:00 Atletico Aldosivi vs Defensores Unidos Analysis →
02:00 Agropecuario Argentino vs Alvarado Analysis →
03:10 Deportivo Moron vs Defensores De Belgrano Analysis →
23:00 Guillermo Brown vs Club Atletico Guemes Analysis →
23:00 Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atletico Rafaela Analysis →