Guillermo Brown 1-0 Club Atletico Guemes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.2pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.1pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.4pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guillermo Brown EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Atletico Guemes EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.98/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/0.94
-20% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guillermo Brown
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Club Atletico Guemes
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.06.2023 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 1-1 HT 1-0 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown ARJPBN
12.02.2023 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown 4-1 HT 1-1 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
25.09.2022 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown 1-1 HT 0-1 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
08.09.2021 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 0-3 HT 0-1 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown ARJPBN
02.05.2021 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown 1-2 HT 1-2 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guillermo Brown
1-0
AWAY Club Atletico Guemes
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 5
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Guillermo Brown vs Club Atletico Guemes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guillermo Brown squeezed past Club Atletico Guemes 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Guillermo Brown found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Guillermo Brown had 56% of the ball to Club Atletico Guemes's 44%, shots finished 6-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Guillermo Brown had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Guillermo Brown and 1.00 for Club Atletico Guemes.

What was the final score of Guillermo Brown vs Club Atletico Guemes?

Guillermo Brown 1-0 Club Atletico Guemes in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guillermo Brown vs Club Atletico Guemes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guillermo Brown win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Guillermo Brown 37%, draw 30%, Club Atletico Guemes 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guillermo Brown), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Guillermo Brown) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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