Deportivo Moron 0-4 Defensores De Belgrano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒03:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.4pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.7pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.8pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Moron EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensores De Belgrano EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +12%
1.27/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.80
-3% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +52%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
296 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Moron
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Defensores De Belgrano
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
04.09.2023 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 3-2 HT 1-2 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
24.04.2023 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
26.02.2022 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 1-1 HT 0-1 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
23.10.2021 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 3-0 HT 3-0 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
29.06.2021 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 0-2 HT 0-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
25.11.2015 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 1-2 HT 1-2 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Moron
0-4
AWAY Defensores De Belgrano
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 7
6 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Deportivo Moron vs Defensores De Belgrano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensores De Belgrano ran out comfortable winners over Deportivo Moron 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Defensores De Belgrano made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Deportivo Moron had 49% of the ball to Defensores De Belgrano's 51%, shots finished 7-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Moron had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Deportivo Moron and 0.67 for Defensores De Belgrano.

What was the final score of Deportivo Moron vs Defensores De Belgrano?

Deportivo Moron 0-4 Defensores De Belgrano in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Moron vs Defensores De Belgrano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Moron win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Moron 40%, draw 30%, Defensores De Belgrano 31%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Moron), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Moron) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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