San Miguel 2-1 Chacarita Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒21:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
34%
2.88
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.41
Over 2.5
35%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
21%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.1pp
34%
Draw
31%
+2.5pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.6pp
65%
Under 2.5
67%
-2.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
33%
+2.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.8pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Miguel EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Chacarita Juniors EU Bookmakers 30%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -5%
1.38/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.93
+19% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Miguel
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Chacarita Juniors
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 11
5 Corners 4
16.02.2024 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 1-1 HT 1-0 San Miguel San Miguel ARJPBN
POST-MATCH San Miguel vs Chacarita Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Miguel nicked a narrow win over Chacarita Juniors 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 34% / 29% — and on the day San Miguel made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of San Miguel vs Chacarita Juniors?

San Miguel 2-1 Chacarita Juniors in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Miguel vs Chacarita Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Miguel win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split San Miguel 37%, draw 34%, Chacarita Juniors 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Miguel) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (San Miguel) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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