Weston Bears 1-0 Valentine Phoenix — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Yeni South Wales, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒07:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.89
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.43
Over 2.5
64%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.46
No
38%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
14%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
49%
+2.0pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.9pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.0pp
36%
Under 2.5
38%
-1.7pp
64%
Over 2.5
62%
+1.7pp
62%
BTTS Yes
64%
-2.1pp
38%
BTTS No
36%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weston Bears EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Valentine Phoenix EU Bookmakers 31%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-27% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -53%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weston Bears
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Valentine Phoenix
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.04.2024 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 2-0 HT 2-0 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNPL
02.07.2023 Weston Bears Weston Bears 2-3 HT 0-2 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNSW
03.05.2023 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 1-0 HT 0-0 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNPL
14.08.2022 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 2-1 HT 0-1 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNPL
24.04.2022 Weston Bears Weston Bears 2-0 HT 0-0 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
19.06.2021 Weston Bears Weston Bears 2-1 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
POST-MATCH Weston Bears vs Valentine Phoenix
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weston Bears edged past Valentine Phoenix 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Weston Bears as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valentine Phoenix led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Weston Bears and 1.50 for Valentine Phoenix.

What was the final score of Weston Bears vs Valentine Phoenix?

Weston Bears 1-0 Valentine Phoenix in the Australia - Yeni South Wales on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weston Bears vs Valentine Phoenix?

Before kick-off our model rated a Weston Bears win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Weston Bears 51%, draw 21%, Valentine Phoenix 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Weston Bears) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Weston Bears) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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