Valentine Phoenix 2-0 Weston Bears — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.46
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
43%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.56
No
40%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
15%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
25%
+2.2pp
30%
Draw
23%
+6.8pp
42%
Away Win
52%
-9.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.1pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valentine Phoenix EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Weston Bears EU Bookmakers 56%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
0.97/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.38/1.41
-29% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -81% / -8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valentine Phoenix
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Weston Bears
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.07.2023 Weston Bears Weston Bears 2-3 HT 0-2 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNSW
03.05.2023 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 1-0 HT 0-0 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNPL
14.08.2022 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 2-1 HT 0-1 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNPL
24.04.2022 Weston Bears Weston Bears 2-0 HT 0-0 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
19.06.2021 Weston Bears Weston Bears 2-1 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
03.04.2021 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 0-1 HT 0-0 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNPL
POST-MATCH Valentine Phoenix vs Weston Bears
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valentine Phoenix got the better of Weston Bears 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Weston Bears at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Valentine Phoenix and 1.33 for Weston Bears.

What was the final score of Valentine Phoenix vs Weston Bears?

Valentine Phoenix 2-0 Weston Bears in the Australia - National Premier League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valentine Phoenix vs Weston Bears?

Before kick-off our model rated an Weston Bears win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Valentine Phoenix 27%, draw 30%, Weston Bears 42%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Weston Bears) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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