Dnepr Mogilev 2-3 Shakhtyor Soligorsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.17
6+ Goals
9%
20.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+1.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+0.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.9pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dnepr Mogilev EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Shakhtyor Soligorsk EU Bookmakers 40%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
0.97/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.47
-24% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
267 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dnepr Mogilev
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Shakhtyor Soligorsk
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
15.08.2022 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 0-7 HT 0-3 Shakhtyor Soligorsk Shakhtyor Soligorsk BLR
04.07.2014 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 0-1 HT 0-0 Shakhtyor Soligorsk Shakhtyor Soligorsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dnepr Mogilev
2-3
AWAY Shakhtyor Soligorsk
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dnepr Mogilev vs Shakhtyor Soligorsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhtyor Soligorsk nicked a narrow win over Dnepr Mogilev 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Shakhtyor Soligorsk made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dnepr Mogilev had 43% of the ball to Shakhtyor Soligorsk's 57%, shots finished 17-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Shakhtyor Soligorsk led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Dnepr Mogilev and 4.00 for Shakhtyor Soligorsk.

What was the final score of Dnepr Mogilev vs Shakhtyor Soligorsk?

Dnepr Mogilev 2-3 Shakhtyor Soligorsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dnepr Mogilev vs Shakhtyor Soligorsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shakhtyor Soligorsk win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dnepr Mogilev 36%, draw 26%, Shakhtyor Soligorsk 38%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shakhtyor Soligorsk) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shakhtyor Soligorsk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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