Naftan Novopolotsk 1-4 Slutsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
35%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.87
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.06
6+ Goals
11%
19.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
53%
-12.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
36%
Away Win
22%
+14.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naftan Novopolotsk EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Slutsk EU Bookmakers 25%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
1.12/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.67
-36% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
382 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naftan Novopolotsk
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Slutsk
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
04.11.2023 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 2-1 HT 1-1 Slutsk Slutsk BLR
10.06.2023 Slutsk Slutsk 3-1 HT 2-1 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
13.09.2015 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 0-1 HT 0-0 Slutsk Slutsk BLR
18.05.2015 Slutsk Slutsk 0-1 HT 0-0 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
17.08.2014 Slutsk Slutsk 0-0 HT 0-0 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
31.05.2014 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 1-0 HT 1-0 Slutsk Slutsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naftan Novopolotsk
1-4
AWAY Slutsk
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Naftan Novopolotsk vs Slutsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slutsk swept aside Naftan Novopolotsk 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (41% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; Slutsk found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Naftan Novopolotsk had 60% of the ball to Slutsk's 40%, shots finished 8-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Naftan Novopolotsk had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Naftan Novopolotsk and 0.83 for Slutsk.

What was the final score of Naftan Novopolotsk vs Slutsk?

Naftan Novopolotsk 1-4 Slutsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naftan Novopolotsk vs Slutsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naftan Novopolotsk win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Naftan Novopolotsk 41%, draw 24%, Slutsk 36%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Naftan Novopolotsk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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