Coritiba vs Paysandu Prediction — Model Probabilities
Coritiba v Paysandu — Team-Based Signals
Coritiba vs Paysandu Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Coritiba 1-1 Paysandu — Actual Match Statistics
a 1-1 draw left Coritiba and Paysandu with a point apiece.
File this under upsets: a 58% lean on Coritiba went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 48%, coin-flips both.
The match data tells the story: Coritiba had 50% of the ball to Paysandu's 50%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.09 to 1.12.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Coritiba had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Coritiba and 0.80 for Paysandu.
Coritiba vs Paysandu Result & Final Score
Coritiba 1 - 1 Paysandu in the Brazil - Serie B on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Coritiba vs Paysandu Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Coritiba win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Coritiba 58%, draw 26%, Paysandu 16%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Coritiba), BTTS No went the other way.