Ituano vs Botafogo SP Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ituano v Botafogo SP — Team-Based Signals
Ituano vs Botafogo SP Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Botafogo SP
BR2
0-2
HT 0-0
Ituano
BR2
2-3
HT 1-2
Ituano
BREPAU
0-3
HT 0-1
Ituano
BRPL1
0-0
HT 0-0
Botafogo SP
BRE3
Ituano 3-2 Botafogo SP — Actual Match Statistics
Ituano squeezed past Botafogo SP 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ituano as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Ituano had 32% of the ball to Botafogo SP's 68%, shots finished 4-19, expected goals 0.18 to 0.92 — on chances, Botafogo SP could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ituano had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ituano and 0.50 for Botafogo SP.
What was the final score of Ituano vs Botafogo SP?
Ituano 3-2 Botafogo SP in the Brazil - Serie B on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ituano vs Botafogo SP?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ituano win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ituano 45%, draw 25%, Botafogo SP 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ituano) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.