VIFK Vaasa 0-1 EPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — FİN3, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
2.23
Over 2.5
68%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
1.5
No
32%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
4.55
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
47%
1.9
4-5 Goals
19%
2.89
6+ Goals
18%
8.28
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.9 — our 47% vs market 45.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
5%
2/1
14%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+3.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.0pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-3.8pp
32%
Under 2.5
41%
-9.1pp
68%
Over 2.5
59%
+9.2pp
68%
BTTS Yes
62%
+5.4pp
32%
BTTS No
38%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VIFK Vaasa EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY EPS EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
398 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VIFK Vaasa
0W-0D-1L
AWAY EPS
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
20.04.2024 EPS EPS 2-0 HT 0-0 VIFK Vaasa VIFK Vaasa FİN2
POST-MATCH VIFK Vaasa vs EPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

EPS edged past VIFK Vaasa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was VIFK Vaasa at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (68%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of VIFK Vaasa vs EPS?

VIFK Vaasa 0-1 EPS in the FİN3 on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VIFK Vaasa vs EPS?

Before kick-off our model rated a VIFK Vaasa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split VIFK Vaasa 43%, draw 24%, EPS 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (VIFK Vaasa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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