EPS 2-0 VIFK Vaasa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.4
2-3 Goals
41%
1.89
4-5 Goals
27%
2.94
6+ Goals
11%
8.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+2.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.0pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EPS EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY VIFK Vaasa EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME EPS
2-0
AWAY VIFK Vaasa
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
POST-MATCH EPS vs VIFK Vaasa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

EPS beat VIFK Vaasa 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 39%) promised a tight game; EPS found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, EPS had 50% of the ball to VIFK Vaasa's 50%, shots finished 13-11.

What was the final score of EPS vs VIFK Vaasa?

EPS 2-0 VIFK Vaasa in the Finland - Ykkönen on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EPS vs VIFK Vaasa?

Before kick-off our model rated an VIFK Vaasa win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split EPS 37%, draw 24%, VIFK Vaasa 39%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (VIFK Vaasa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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