JaPS 3-1 PK-35 ry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.17
6+ Goals
11%
10.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 28% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+2.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.1pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JaPS EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY PK-35 ry EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.22/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.75
-12% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -26%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
309 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JaPS
1W-1D-4L
AWAY PK-35 ry
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2024 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 3-2 HT 1-2 JaPS JaPS FINYK
26.08.2022 JaPS JaPS 3-0 HT 1-0 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FİN2
18.06.2022 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 2-2 HT 2-0 JaPS JaPS FİN2
19.09.2020 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 3-1 HT 2-0 JaPS JaPS FİNKAK
15.08.2020 JaPS JaPS 0-1 HT 0-0 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FİNKAK
18.07.2020 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 5-0 HT 3-0 JaPS JaPS FİNKAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JaPS
3-1
AWAY PK-35 ry
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH JaPS vs PK-35 ry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JaPS beat PK-35 ry 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day JaPS made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, JaPS had 41% of the ball to PK-35 ry's 59%, shots finished 10-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PK-35 ry led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for JaPS and 2.33 for PK-35 ry.

What was the final score of JaPS vs PK-35 ry?

JaPS 3-1 PK-35 ry in the Finland - Ykkönen on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JaPS vs PK-35 ry?

Before kick-off our model rated an PK-35 ry win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split JaPS 35%, draw 25%, PK-35 ry 40%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (PK-35 ry) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FİN2 More Finland - Ykkönen
20 Apr 2024
16:00 TPS Turku vs Mikkeli Analysis →
16:00 EPS vs VIFK Vaasa Analysis →
16:00 SJK Akatemia vs Jaro Analysis →
16:00 RoPS vs JJK Jyvaskyla Analysis →
16:00 JIPPO vs KTP Kotka Analysis →