JIPPO 1-0 KTP Kotka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.4
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.49
6+ Goals
8%
13.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 31% vs market 24.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
-0.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.9pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JIPPO EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY KTP Kotka EU Bookmakers 49%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +15%
1.25/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.19/1.29
-3% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JIPPO
0W-2D-2L
AWAY KTP Kotka
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 9
03.02.2024 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 1-1 HT 0-1 JIPPO JIPPO FINYK
04.10.2014 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 0-0 HT 0-0 JIPPO JIPPO FİN2
03.08.2014 JIPPO JIPPO 1-4 HT 0-1 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
12.06.2014 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 3-0 HT 3-0 JIPPO JIPPO FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JIPPO
1-0
AWAY KTP Kotka
35% Ball Possession 65%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH JIPPO vs KTP Kotka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JIPPO squeezed past KTP Kotka 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was KTP Kotka at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, JIPPO had 35% of the ball to KTP Kotka's 65%, shots finished 12-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, KTP Kotka led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for JIPPO and 2.00 for KTP Kotka.

What was the final score of JIPPO vs KTP Kotka?

JIPPO 1-0 KTP Kotka in the Finland - Ykkönen on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JIPPO vs KTP Kotka?

Before kick-off our model rated an KTP Kotka win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split JIPPO 29%, draw 28%, KTP Kotka 44%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (KTP Kotka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KTP Kotka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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