Busan Transportation 1-0 Gyeongju HNP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.71
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
48%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
21%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
18%
+8.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
49%
Away Win
58%
-9.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busan Transportation EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Gyeongju HNP EU Bookmakers 62%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.16/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.79
+7% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -1%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
190 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busan Transportation
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Gyeongju HNP
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
17.03.2024 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 1-0 HT 0-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
04.11.2023 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 3-1 HT 2-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
09.06.2023 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 2-2 HT 1-1 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
26.06.2022 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 3-1 HT 1-1 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
22.10.2021 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 1-3 HT 0-1 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
06.06.2021 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 1-0 HT 0-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
POST-MATCH Busan Transportation vs Gyeongju HNP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan Transportation squeezed past Gyeongju HNP 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Gyeongju HNP at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gyeongju HNP led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Busan Transportation and 2.17 for Gyeongju HNP.

What was the final score of Busan Transportation vs Gyeongju HNP?

Busan Transportation 1-0 Gyeongju HNP in the South Kore - K3 League on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busan Transportation vs Gyeongju HNP?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gyeongju HNP win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Busan Transportation 27%, draw 25%, Gyeongju HNP 49%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gyeongju HNP) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gyeongju HNP) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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