Gangwon 2-0 Gwangju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 7 Jul 2024

Gangwon
2-0 HT 1-0
Gwangju
📅07/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
South Kore - K League Classic – 2024

Gangwon vs Gwangju Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
40%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.73
No
56%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.17
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.7
6+ Goals
8%
15.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 33% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.59
1/2
7%
30.5
1/X
7%
12.75
X/1
15%
5.39
X/2
18%
5.78
X/X
15%
4.37
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
15%
3.97
2/X
5%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-4.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+6.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.9pp
56%
BTTS No
46%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gangwon v Gwangju — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gangwon EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Gwangju EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/0.51
+72% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / +150%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
339 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
28.0 Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Gangwon vs Gwangju Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gangwon
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Gwangju
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.09 xG 1.70
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
282 Passes 386
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 21
24 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.03.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 4-2 HT 0-1 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
08.10.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 1-0 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
07.07.2023 Gangwon Gangwon 1-1 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
23.04.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 0-0 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
31.10.2021 Gwangju Gwangju 2-2 HT 0-1 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
17.10.2021 Gangwon Gangwon 2-1 HT 1-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK

Gangwon 2-0 Gwangju — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gangwon
2-0
AWAY Gwangju
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gangwon vs Gwangju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gangwon beat Gwangju 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Gangwon found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gangwon had 46% of the ball to Gwangju's 54%, shots finished 9-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gwangju led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gangwon and 1.50 for Gwangju.

What was the final score of Gangwon vs Gwangju?

Gangwon 2-0 Gwangju in the South Kore - K League Classic on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gangwon vs Gwangju?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gwangju win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gangwon 34%, draw 26%, Gwangju 40%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gwangju) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gwangju) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GKOR More South Kore - K League Classic
7 Jul 2024
13:00 Daejeon Citizen vs Jeonbuk Motors Analysis →