Avispa Fukuoka 1-2 Kyoto Sanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.18
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
15%
5.75
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.68
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
15.5
X/1
16%
3.94
X/2
9%
7.95
X/X
14%
3.63
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
12%
7.12
2/X
5%
16.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.4pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.5pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+4.9pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.6pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 25%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
1.16/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.47
-15% / +118% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +55%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
375 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
21.8 Crosses 16.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.18 xG 0.89
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
225 Passes 240
68% Pass Accuracy 69%
23 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.05.2024 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 2-3 HT 1-1 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
26.08.2023 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 2-0 HT 2-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
09.04.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
10.07.2022 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 HT 1-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
29.04.2022 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0-1 HT 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
13.12.2020 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 2-0 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
1-2
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
0.75 xG 1.66
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
271 Passes 227
70% Pass Accuracy 68%
28 Box Touches 30
32 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Avispa Fukuoka vs Kyoto Sanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kyoto Sanga edged past Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Avispa Fukuoka at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Avispa Fukuoka had 54% of the ball to Kyoto Sanga's 46%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 0.75 to 1.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avispa Fukuoka had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Avispa Fukuoka and 0.83 for Kyoto Sanga.

What was the final score of Avispa Fukuoka vs Kyoto Sanga?

Avispa Fukuoka 1-2 Kyoto Sanga in the Japan - J1 League on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avispa Fukuoka vs Kyoto Sanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avispa Fukuoka win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Avispa Fukuoka 44%, draw 29%, Kyoto Sanga 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Avispa Fukuoka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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