Atletico Ottawa 0-1 Pacific FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
1.76
No
64%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
57%
-3.3pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.8pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+6.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.8pp
36%
BTTS Yes
53%
-16.4pp
64%
BTTS No
47%
+16.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Pacific FC EU Bookmakers 22%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.89/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.27
+78% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% / +101%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
33.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
17.0 Crosses 11.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Ottawa
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Pacific FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.93 xG 1.53
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
247 Passes 392
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 Pacific FC Pacific FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
14.09.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-1 HT 0-1 Pacific FC Pacific FC CAPL
13.08.2023 Pacific FC Pacific FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
01.07.2023 Pacific FC Pacific FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
07.05.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-4 HT 0-3 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL
23.10.2022 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-1 HT 0-1 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Ottawa
0-1
AWAY Pacific FC
2.49 xG 0.32
57% Ball Possession 43%
22 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
456 Passes 334
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
30 Box Touches 4
28 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Ottawa vs Pacific FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pacific FC nicked a narrow win over Atletico Ottawa 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Ottawa at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (64%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Atletico Ottawa had 57% of the ball to Pacific FC's 43%, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 2.49 to 0.32 — on chances, Atletico Ottawa could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Ottawa had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atletico Ottawa and 1.33 for Pacific FC.

What was the final score of Atletico Ottawa vs Pacific FC?

Atletico Ottawa 0-1 Pacific FC in the Kanada - Premier League on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Ottawa vs Pacific FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Ottawa win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Atletico Ottawa 54%, draw 21%, Pacific FC 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Ottawa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Ottawa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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