Pacific FC 0-1 Atletico Ottawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.71
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.31
6+ Goals
11%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
-0.2pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.2pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.6pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pacific FC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 34%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +2%
0.83/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.29
-66% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
344 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 80%
14.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
10.0 Crosses 11.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pacific FC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.56 xG 0.88
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
402 Passes 234
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-1 HT 0-1 Pacific FC Pacific FC CAPL
13.08.2023 Pacific FC Pacific FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
01.07.2023 Pacific FC Pacific FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
07.05.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-4 HT 0-3 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL
23.10.2022 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-1 HT 0-1 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL
16.10.2022 Pacific FC Pacific FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pacific FC
0-1
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
0.37 xG 1.06
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
457 Passes 320
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pacific FC vs Atletico Ottawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Ottawa squeezed past Pacific FC 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Pacific FC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Pacific FC had 57% of the ball to Atletico Ottawa's 43%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.37 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Ottawa led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pacific FC and 1.33 for Atletico Ottawa.

What was the final score of Pacific FC vs Atletico Ottawa?

Pacific FC 0-1 Atletico Ottawa in the Kanada - Premier League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pacific FC vs Atletico Ottawa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pacific FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pacific FC 41%, draw 25%, Atletico Ottawa 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Pacific FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pacific FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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