Jerv 1-1 Sotra SK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.33
Over 2.5
45%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.83
2-3 Goals
47%
1.93
4-5 Goals
19%
2.8
6+ Goals
8%
7.61
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.83 — our 26% vs market 16.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
58%
-11.5pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.0pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
39%
+15.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
61%
-15.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.4pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jerv EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Sotra SK EU Bookmakers 23%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -1%
2.02/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.56
-9% / +79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +32%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
377 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jerv
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sotra SK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
27.04.2024 Sotra SK Sotra SK 0-2 HT 0-2 Jerv Jerv NOR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jerv
1-1
AWAY Sotra SK
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jerv vs Sotra SK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jerv and Sotra SK shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Jerv at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Jerv had 55% of the ball to Sotra SK's 45%, shots finished 16-8.

What was the final score of Jerv vs Sotra SK?

Jerv 1-1 Sotra SK in the Norway - 2nd Division on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jerv vs Sotra SK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jerv win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Jerv 46%, draw 25%, Sotra SK 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Jerv), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jerv) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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