Sotra SK 0-2 Jerv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
30%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.55
No
54%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.29
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
2.98
6+ Goals
10%
9.09
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.29 — our 27% vs market 18.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
32%
+12.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
30%
Away Win
43%
-13.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
60%
-14.1pp
54%
BTTS No
40%
+14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sotra SK EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Jerv EU Bookmakers 46%
+16% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -49% / -49%
2.06/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/2.03
+43% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -32%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sotra SK
0-2
AWAY Jerv
53% Ball Possession 47%
5 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sotra SK vs Jerv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jerv beat Sotra SK 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Sotra SK at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Sotra SK had 53% of the ball to Jerv's 47%, shots finished 5-8.

What was the final score of Sotra SK vs Jerv?

Sotra SK 0-2 Jerv in the Norway - 2nd Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sotra SK vs Jerv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sotra SK win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sotra SK 44%, draw 26%, Jerv 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Sotra SK), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sotra SK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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