27/04/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-2
Follo vs Skeid Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
28%
27%
Draw
23%
36%
Away Win
49%
49%
Under 2.5
39%
51%
Over 2.5
61%
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
45%
BTTS No
38%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Follo v Skeid — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Follo
EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY
Skeid
EU Bookmakers 53%
+51% /
+51%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+13% /
+13%
4.00/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.24/0.60
+150%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+14%
/
+116%
49%
Ball Possession
51%
10
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
375 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
401 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.0
POST-MATCH
Follo vs Skeid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Skeid squeezed past Follo 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Skeid made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Follo vs Skeid?
Follo 0-1 Skeid in the Norway - 2nd Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Follo vs Skeid?
Before kick-off our model rated a Follo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Follo 38%, draw 27%, Skeid 36%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
✗ Match Result (Follo)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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NOR3
More Norway - 2nd Division
27 Apr 2024