Melbourne Victory U23 2-0 Werribee City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Victoria NPL 2, 7 Jul 2024

Melbourne Victory U23
2-0
Werribee City
📅07/07/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Australia - Victoria NPL 2 – 2024

Melbourne Victory U23 vs Werribee City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.63
Over 2.5
66%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.43
No
39%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
14%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.3pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.3pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.0pp
34%
Under 2.5
34%
-0.6pp
66%
Over 2.5
66%
+0.6pp
61%
BTTS Yes
66%
-5.0pp
39%
BTTS No
34%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Melbourne Victory U23 v Werribee City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne Victory U23 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Werribee City EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
309 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Melbourne Victory U23 vs Werribee City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Victory U23 beat Werribee City 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Melbourne Victory U23 as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Melbourne Victory U23 vs Werribee City?

Melbourne Victory U23 2-0 Werribee City in the Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne Victory U23 vs Werribee City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne Victory U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Victory U23 51%, draw 24%, Werribee City 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne Victory U23) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Melbourne Victory U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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