Western United II 1-2 Melbourne City II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Victoria NPL 2, 7 Jul 2024

Western United II
1-2
Melbourne City II
📅07/07/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - Victoria NPL 2 – 2024

Western United II vs Melbourne City II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.68
Over 2.5
64%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.31
No
36%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
28%
4-5 Goals
38%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-0.7pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.9pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.2pp
36%
Under 2.5
24%
+12.6pp
64%
Over 2.5
76%
-12.6pp
64%
BTTS Yes
72%
-7.8pp
36%
BTTS No
28%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Western United II v Melbourne City II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western United II EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne City II EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -33%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Western United II vs Melbourne City II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne City II edged past Western United II 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Western United II at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

What was the final score of Western United II vs Melbourne City II?

Western United II 1-2 Melbourne City II in the Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western United II vs Melbourne City II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Western United II win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Western United II 51%, draw 23%, Melbourne City II 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Western United II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Western United II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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