Pathfinder 4-1 Blackwatch Rush — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
46%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.43
Over 2.5
63%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.43
No
37%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
35%
-5.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
46%
Away Win
41%
+4.7pp
37%
Under 2.5
38%
-0.4pp
63%
Over 2.5
62%
+0.4pp
63%
BTTS Yes
66%
-2.5pp
37%
BTTS No
34%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pathfinder EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackwatch Rush EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pathfinder
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Blackwatch Rush
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
26.06.2024 Blackwatch Rush Blackwatch Rush 3-0 HT 1-0 Pathfinder Pathfinder USL2
16.07.2023 Pathfinder Pathfinder 1-7 HT 0-0 Blackwatch Rush Blackwatch Rush USL2
07.07.2023 Blackwatch Rush Blackwatch Rush 2-0 HT 1-0 Pathfinder Pathfinder USL2
POST-MATCH Pathfinder vs Blackwatch Rush
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pathfinder cruised past Blackwatch Rush 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Blackwatch Rush at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Blackwatch Rush led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Pathfinder and 4.00 for Blackwatch Rush.

What was the final score of Pathfinder vs Blackwatch Rush?

Pathfinder 4-1 Blackwatch Rush in the USA - USL League 2 on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pathfinder vs Blackwatch Rush?

Before kick-off our model rated an Blackwatch Rush win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Pathfinder 30%, draw 24%, Blackwatch Rush 46%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Blackwatch Rush) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Blackwatch Rush) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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