AF Elbasani 1-1 BATE Borisov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 7 Jul 2026

📅07/07/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.49
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
17%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.74
Over 2.5
51%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.13
No
48%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.76
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
62%
-0.8pp
22%
Draw
22%
-1.0pp
17%
Away Win
15%
+1.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
54%
-5.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
46%
+5.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
43%
+9.3pp
48%
BTTS No
57%
-9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AF Elbasani EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY BATE Borisov EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -56%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
404 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AF Elbasani
1-1
AWAY BATE Borisov
12 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ AF Elbasani vs BATE Borisov
Match summary & frequently asked questions

AF Elbasani and BATE Borisov shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 7 Jul 2026. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, shots finished 12-5.

What was the final score of AF Elbasani vs BATE Borisov?

AF Elbasani 1-1 BATE Borisov in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 07/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AF Elbasani vs BATE Borisov?

Before kick-off our model rated a AF Elbasani win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split AF Elbasani 61%, draw 22%, BATE Borisov 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AF Elbasani), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AF Elbasani) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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