UNA Strassen 1-0 La Fiorita — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 7 Jul 2026

📅07/07/2026 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.3
Draw
17%
4.81
Away
11%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.16
No
49%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.58
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.04
6+ Goals
12%
10.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.04 — our 28% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
3%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
73%
-0.9pp
17%
Draw
18%
-1.1pp
12%
Away Win
10%
+2.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+9.1pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UNA Strassen EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY La Fiorita EU Bookmakers 12%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -23%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
397 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UNA Strassen
1-0
AWAY La Fiorita
25 Total Shots 1
10 Shots on Target 0
13 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH UNA Strassen vs La Fiorita
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UNA Strassen edged past La Fiorita 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had UNA Strassen as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 25-1.

What was the final score of UNA Strassen vs La Fiorita?

UNA Strassen 1-0 La Fiorita in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 07/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UNA Strassen vs La Fiorita?

Before kick-off our model rated a UNA Strassen win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split UNA Strassen 72%, draw 17%, La Fiorita 12%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UNA Strassen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UNA Strassen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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