Vila Nova 2-1 Sao Bernardo FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 7 Jul 2026

Vila Nova
2-1 HT 1-0
Sao Bernardo FC
📅07/07/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2026

Vila Nova vs Sao Bernardo FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.49
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
22%
4.18
6+ Goals
10%
21.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
+0.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.3pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vila Nova v Sao Bernardo FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vila Nova EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Sao Bernardo FC EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +61% / +61%
1.32/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.93
-7% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
317 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.5
21.3 Crosses 14.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.5

Vila Nova 2-1 Sao Bernardo FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vila Nova
2-1
AWAY Sao Bernardo FC
1.48 xG 0.61
17 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
258 Passes 295
31 Box Touches 9
25 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vila Nova vs Sao Bernardo FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vila Nova nicked a narrow win over Sao Bernardo FC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vila Nova as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.48 to 0.61.

What was the final score of Vila Nova vs Sao Bernardo FC?

Vila Nova 2-1 Sao Bernardo FC in the Brazil - Serie B on 07/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vila Nova vs Sao Bernardo FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vila Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Vila Nova 48%, draw 28%, Sao Bernardo FC 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vila Nova), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vila Nova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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