Botafogo SP 3-1 Avai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 7 Jul 2026

Botafogo SP
3-1 HT 1-0
Avai
📅07/07/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2026

Botafogo SP vs Avai Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.47
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
18%
4.22
6+ Goals
9%
21.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.47 — our 34% vs market 32.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-3.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.7pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Botafogo SP v Avai — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botafogo SP EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Avai EU Bookmakers 22%
-26% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -8%
1.16/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.33
-78% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
359 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 79%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
31.4 Crosses 15.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8

Botafogo SP vs Avai Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botafogo SP
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Avai
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.82 xG 1.34
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
346 Passes 320
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.11.2025 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 0-0 HT 0-0 Avai Avai BR2
29.07.2025 Avai Avai 5-0 HT 4-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
19.11.2024 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 1-3 HT 1-0 Avai Avai BR2
31.07.2024 Avai Avai 1-1 HT 0-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
07.10.2023 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 0-1 HT 0-0 Avai Avai BR2
11.06.2023 Avai Avai 1-1 HT 1-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2

Botafogo SP 3-1 Avai — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botafogo SP
3-1
AWAY Avai
1.27 xG 0.36
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
238 Passes 449
21 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Botafogo SP vs Avai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botafogo SP got the better of Avai 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Botafogo SP as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.27 to 0.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avai led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Botafogo SP and 1.83 for Avai.

What was the final score of Botafogo SP vs Avai?

Botafogo SP 3-1 Avai in the Brazil - Serie B on 07/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botafogo SP vs Avai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo SP win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Botafogo SP 49%, draw 27%, Avai 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botafogo SP) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Botafogo SP) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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