Botafogo SP vs Avai Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Botafogo SP v Avai — Team-Based Signals
Botafogo SP vs Avai Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Avai
BR2
1-1
HT 1-0
Botafogo SP
BR2
0-1
HT 0-1
Avai
BR2
0-1
HT 0-0
Botafogo SP
BR2
Botafogo SP 1-3 Avai — Actual Match Statistics
Avai saw off Botafogo SP 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (37% / 35% / 28%) promised a tight game; Avai found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Botafogo SP had 52% of the ball to Avai's 48%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.36 to 1.80.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Avai led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Botafogo SP and 0.80 for Avai.
What was the final score of Botafogo SP vs Avai?
Botafogo SP 1-3 Avai in the Brazil - Serie B on 19/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Botafogo SP vs Avai?
Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo SP win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Botafogo SP 37%, draw 35%, Avai 28%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.