Ceara 1-0 America Mineiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 19 Nov 2024

📅19/11/2024 · 🕒03:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.47
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.71
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.33
6+ Goals
10%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.71 — our 32% vs market 22.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
64%
-15.4pp
29%
Draw
21%
+7.8pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+9.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-9.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceara EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY America Mineiro EU Bookmakers 18%
-1% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -5%
1.33/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.00
+15% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
365 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 75%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
23.3 Crosses 16.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceara
1W-3D-2L
AWAY America Mineiro
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.13 xG 1.21
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
303 Passes 321
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.07.2024 America Mineiro America Mineiro 2-2 HT 2-2 Ceara Ceara BR2
01.10.2022 Ceara Ceara 1-2 HT 0-1 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR1
09.06.2022 America Mineiro America Mineiro 0-2 HT 0-1 Ceara Ceara BR1
06.12.2021 Ceara Ceara 0-0 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR1
29.08.2021 America Mineiro America Mineiro 2-0 HT 1-0 Ceara Ceara BR1
09.09.2018 America Mineiro America Mineiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Ceara Ceara BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceara
1-0
AWAY America Mineiro
1.72 xG 0.32
38% Ball Possession 62%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 3
194 Passes 347
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ceara vs America Mineiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceara edged past America Mineiro 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ceara as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Ceara had 38% of the ball to America Mineiro's 62%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.72 to 0.32 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Ceara's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, America Mineiro led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ceara and 1.00 for America Mineiro.

What was the final score of Ceara vs America Mineiro?

Ceara 1-0 America Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie B on 19/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceara vs America Mineiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceara win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ceara 48%, draw 29%, America Mineiro 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ceara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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