Ceara vs America Mineiro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ceara v America Mineiro — Team-Based Signals
Ceara vs America Mineiro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
America Mineiro
BR1
0-2
HT 0-1
Ceara
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
America Mineiro
BR1
2-0
HT 1-0
Ceara
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Ceara
BR1
Ceara 1-0 America Mineiro — Actual Match Statistics
Ceara edged past America Mineiro 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ceara as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Ceara had 38% of the ball to America Mineiro's 62%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.72 to 0.32 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Ceara's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, America Mineiro led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ceara and 1.00 for America Mineiro.
What was the final score of Ceara vs America Mineiro?
Ceara 1-0 America Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie B on 19/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ceara vs America Mineiro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ceara win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ceara 48%, draw 29%, America Mineiro 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.