America Mineiro 2-2 Ceara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 29 Jul 2024

📅29/07/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.38
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.04
6+ Goals
8%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-6.9pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.8pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.1pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America Mineiro EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceara EU Bookmakers 28%
-1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -16%
1.34/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.13
-10% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
23.8 Crosses 18.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America Mineiro
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Ceara
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.22 xG 1.11
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
281 Passes 332
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2022 Ceara Ceara 1-2 HT 0-1 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR1
09.06.2022 America Mineiro America Mineiro 0-2 HT 0-1 Ceara Ceara BR1
06.12.2021 Ceara Ceara 0-0 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR1
29.08.2021 America Mineiro America Mineiro 2-0 HT 1-0 Ceara Ceara BR1
09.09.2018 America Mineiro America Mineiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Ceara Ceara BR1
15.05.2018 Ceara Ceara 2-2 HT 1-2 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America Mineiro
2-2
AWAY Ceara
1.15 xG 1.23
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
434 Passes 261
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 12
27 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ America Mineiro vs Ceara
Match summary & frequently asked questions

America Mineiro and Ceara shared the points in a 2-2 draw in the Brazil - Serie B on 29 Jul 2024.

It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score was close to even at 44%.

On the day, America Mineiro had 60% of the ball to Ceara's 40%, shots finished 17-15, expected goals 1.15 to 1.23.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, America Mineiro have the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for America Mineiro and 0.83 for Ceara.

What was the final score of America Mineiro vs Ceara?

America Mineiro 2-2 Ceara in the Brazil - Serie B on 29/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America Mineiro vs Ceara?

Before kick-off our model rated a America Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split America Mineiro 41%, draw 32%, Ceara 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (America Mineiro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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29 Jul 2024
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