CRB 1-1 Santos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 29 Jul 2024

CRB
1-1 HT 0-0
Santos
📅29/07/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.45
Over 2.5
39%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.15
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
16%
5.87
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.1pp
29%
Draw
32%
-3.0pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.9pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CRB EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos EU Bookmakers 40%
+13% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
0.99/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.29
-2% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 74%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
17.1 Crosses 20.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CRB
1-1
AWAY Santos
0.17 xG 0.27
57% Ball Possession 43%
4 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
100 Passes 65
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
4 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH CRB vs Santos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CRB and Santos couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, CRB had 57% of the ball to Santos's 43%, shots finished 4-5, expected goals 0.17 to 0.27.

What was the final score of CRB vs Santos?

CRB 1-1 Santos in the Brazil - Serie B on 29/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CRB vs Santos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split CRB 35%, draw 29%, Santos 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Santos), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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