Avai 5-0 Botafogo SP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 29 Jul 2025

📅29/07/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.72
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
55%
-11.2pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.0pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.4pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avai EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo SP EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +9%
1.32/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.49
-28% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
22.3 Crosses 16.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avai
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Botafogo SP
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.02 xG 0.93
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
277 Passes 338
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.11.2024 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 1-3 HT 1-0 Avai Avai BR2
31.07.2024 Avai Avai 1-1 HT 0-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
07.10.2023 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 0-1 HT 0-0 Avai Avai BR2
11.06.2023 Avai Avai 1-1 HT 1-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
24.11.2020 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 0-1 HT 0-1 Avai Avai BR2
19.08.2020 Avai Avai 0-1 HT 0-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avai
5-0
AWAY Botafogo SP
2.61 xG 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
417 Passes 379
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Avai vs Botafogo SP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avai swept aside Botafogo SP 5-0. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Avai as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Avai had 51% of the ball to Botafogo SP's 49%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 2.61 to 0.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avai had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Avai and 0.67 for Botafogo SP.

What was the final score of Avai vs Botafogo SP?

Avai 5-0 Botafogo SP in the Brazil - Serie B on 29/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avai vs Botafogo SP?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avai win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Avai 43%, draw 30%, Botafogo SP 27%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avai), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Avai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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