Paysandu 1-1 Athletic Club — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 29 Jul 2025

Paysandu
1-1 HT 1-1
Athletic Club
📅29/07/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2025

Paysandu vs Athletic Club Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.56
Over 2.5
46%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+2.9pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.3pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.1pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Paysandu v Athletic Club — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paysandu EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Club EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +52% / +52%
1.52/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.22
-21% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +110% / +18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
289 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
28.3 Crosses 12.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Paysandu 1-1 Athletic Club — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paysandu
1-1
AWAY Athletic Club
0.95 xG 1.63
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
262 Passes 325
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 25
25 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Paysandu vs Athletic Club
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paysandu and Athletic Club couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Paysandu at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Paysandu had 47% of the ball to Athletic Club's 53%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 0.95 to 1.63.

What was the final score of Paysandu vs Athletic Club?

Paysandu 1-1 Athletic Club in the Brazil - Serie B on 29/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paysandu vs Athletic Club?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paysandu win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Paysandu 42%, draw 26%, Athletic Club 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Paysandu), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paysandu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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