Arjantin 3-2 Mısır — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup, 7 Jul 2026

📅07/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.33
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
12%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.27
No
48%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2.93
2-3 Goals
46%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.77
6+ Goals
11%
16.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.61
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
8%
21.8
X/1
23%
3.55
X/2
5%
17.45
X/X
9%
5.76
2/1 EV+ ✓
11%
28.0
2/2
3%
17.1
2/X
6%
25.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 11% vs market 1.4%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
70%
-4.5pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.4pp
12%
Away Win
11%
+1.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
40%
+12.4pp
48%
BTTS No
60%
-12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arjantin EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Mısır EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
1.94/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.35
-6% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +144%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
401 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 77%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
9.8 Crosses 13.0
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arjantin
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Mısır
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
26.03.2008 Mısır Mısır 0-2 HT 0-0 Arjantin Arjantin HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arjantin
3-2
AWAY Mısır
2.84 xG 0.89
19 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
541 Passes 287
35 Box Touches 8
26 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Arjantin vs Mısır
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arjantin squeezed past Mısır 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arjantin as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 2.84 to 0.89 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Arjantin's control.

What was the final score of Arjantin vs Mısır?

Arjantin 3-2 Mısır in the World Cup on 07/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arjantin vs Mısır?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arjantin win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Arjantin 66%, draw 22%, Mısır 12%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arjantin), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arjantin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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