ABD 1-4 Belçika — Result, Stats & Model Review (World Cup, 7 Jul 2026)

ABD

1-4 HT 1-2

Belçika

📅07/07/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3

Top 2 Score Predictions

1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗

World Cup – 2026

ABD vs Belçika Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions

Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend

⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.

Match Result

Home

45%

2.38

Draw

23%

3.11

Away

32%

2.72

Under/Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41%

1.97

Over 2.5

59%

1.75

Both Teams to Score

Yes

54%

1.53

46%

2.33

Total Goals

0-1 Goal

25%

4.17

2-3 Goals

40%

1.85

4-5 Goals

24%

6+ Goals

11%

Half Time / Full Time

1/1

16%

3.41

1/2

26.5

1/X

11.7

X/1

15%

5.87

X/2

11%

6.4

X/X

5.03

2/1 EV+ ✗

14%

24.8

2/2

14%

3.92

2/X

11.9

Value flag · 2/1 at 24.8 — our 14% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.

PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine

Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline

✋

Decision

No Bet — Skip This Match

The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.

Model vs Market — where we differ

iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers

45%

Home Win

38%

+6.5pp

23%

Draw

29%

-5.2pp

32%

Away Win

33%

-1.2pp

41%

Under 2.5

47%

-5.4pp

59%

Over 2.5

53%

+5.4pp

54%

BTTS Yes

61%

-7.3pp

46%

BTTS No

39%

+7.3pp

gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ABD v Belçika — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine

iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals

HOME ABD EU Bookmakers 42%

Head to Head

AWAY Belçika EU Bookmakers 37%

+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%

1.28/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.78/0.74

+150% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -87% / –

52% Ball Possession 48%

14 Total Shots 11

4 Shots on Target 4

5 Corners 3

393 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%

46.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.5

21.5 Crosses 20.8

1.7 Yellow Cards 1.2

ABD vs Belçika Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings

Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings

HOME ABD

0W-1D-3L

AWAY Belçika

1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50

53% Ball Possession 47%

12 Total Shots 23

4 Shots on Target 11

5 Corners 10

436 Passes 384

84% Pass Accuracy 84%

The Meetings

28.03.2026 ABD ABD

2-5 HT 1-1

Belçika HAZ

01.07.2014 Belçika

0-0 HT 0-0 ABD

ABD DK

30.05.2013 ABD ABD

2-4 HT 1-1

Belçika HAZ

06.09.2011 Belçika

1-0 HT 0-0 ABD

ABD HAZ

ABD 1-4 Belçika — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result

Real recorded figures from this match

HOME ABD

1-4

AWAY Belçika

0.63 xG 2.01

7 Total Shots 15

2 Shots on Target 7

3 Corners 5

459 Passes 334

12 Box Touches 22

11 Crosses 15

2 Yellow Cards 0

POST-MATCH ABD vs Belçika

iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belçika cruised past ABD 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was ABD at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 0.63 to 2.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Belçika led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for ABD and 2.50 for Belçika.

What was the final score of ABD vs Belçika?

ABD 1-4 Belçika in the World Cup on 07/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ABD vs Belçika?

Before kick-off our model rated a ABD win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split ABD 45%, draw 23%, Belçika 32%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (ABD) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ABD) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes

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