ABD 2-5 Belçika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 28 Mar 2026

ABD
2-5 HT 1-1
Belçika
📅28/03/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2026

ABD vs Belçika Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
45%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.53
No
39%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.28
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals
27%
2.82
6+ Goals
10%
8.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.26
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
22.25
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
10%
6.64
X/2
13%
5.27
X/X
11%
5.45
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
25%
2.98
2/X
5%
12.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.25 — our 7% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.9pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.3pp
45%
Away Win
43%
+2.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.0pp
61%
BTTS Yes
61%
-0.4pp
39%
BTTS No
39%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ABD v Belçika — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ABD EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Belçika EU Bookmakers 46%
+9% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.98/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/1.64
+23% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +50%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
281 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
12.3 Crosses 12.1
1.9 Yellow Cards –

ABD vs Belçika Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ABD
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Belçika
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 24
4 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 12
479 Passes 388
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
The Meetings
01.07.2014 Belçika Belçika 0-0 HT 0-0 ABD ABD DK
30.05.2013 ABD ABD 2-4 HT 1-1 Belçika Belçika HAZ
06.09.2011 Belçika Belçika 1-0 HT 0-0 ABD ABD HAZ

ABD 2-5 Belçika — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ABD
2-5
AWAY Belçika
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 6
394 Passes 379
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
POST-MATCH ABD vs Belçika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belçika cruised past ABD 5-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Belçika as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, ABD had 52% of the ball to Belçika's 48%, shots finished 12-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Belçika led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for ABD and 1.67 for Belçika.

What was the final score of ABD vs Belçika?

ABD 2-5 Belçika in the Friendlies on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ABD vs Belçika?

Before kick-off our model rated an Belçika win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split ABD 33%, draw 22%, Belçika 45%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Belçika), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Belçika) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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