Senegal 2-0 Peru — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 28 Mar 2026

Senegal
2-0 HT 1-0
Peru
📅28/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.47
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.75
Over 2.5
39%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.77
2-3 Goals
36%
1.7
4-5 Goals
18%
3.74
6+ Goals
8%
16.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.77 — our 38% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
64%
-5.1pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.5pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+3.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
53%
+8.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
47%
-8.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.0pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Senegal EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Peru EU Bookmakers 17%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.57/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.58
-21% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +20%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
410 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
Crosses 11.9
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Senegal
2-0
AWAY Peru
1.89 xG 0.43
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
590 Passes 357
91% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Senegal vs Peru
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Senegal saw off Peru 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Senegal as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Senegal had 60% of the ball to Peru's 40%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 1.89 to 0.43.

What was the final score of Senegal vs Peru?

Senegal 2-0 Peru in the Friendlies on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Senegal vs Peru?

Before kick-off our model rated a Senegal win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Senegal 59%, draw 24%, Peru 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Senegal), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Senegal) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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