Macaristan 1-0 Slovenya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.6
2-3 Goals
43%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
3.99
6+ Goals
8%
19.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.38
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
9%
14.5
X/1
18%
4.12
X/2
12%
8.59
X/X
9%
4.39
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
10%
7.31
2/X
5%
16.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-2.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.1pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macaristan EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Slovenya EU Bookmakers 24%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.19/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.22
+0% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
15.5 Crosses 12.8
0.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macaristan
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Slovenya
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
26.03.2008 Macaristan Macaristan 0-1 HT 0-0 Slovenya Slovenya HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macaristan
1-0
AWAY Slovenya
1.74 xG 0.28
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
412 Passes 374
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Macaristan vs Slovenya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Macaristan nicked a narrow win over Slovenya 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Macaristan as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Macaristan had 51% of the ball to Slovenya's 49%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 1.74 to 0.28 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Macaristan's control.

What was the final score of Macaristan vs Slovenya?

Macaristan 1-0 Slovenya in the Friendlies on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macaristan vs Slovenya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Macaristan win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Macaristan 50%, draw 24%, Slovenya 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Macaristan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Macaristan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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