İskoçya 0-1 Japonya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
46%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.51
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.35
6+ Goals
7%
23.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.69
1/2
5%
30.0
1/X
5%
13.9
X/1
11%
6.12
X/2
13%
4.94
X/X
17%
3.98
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
28%
3.38
2/X
5%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
32%
-5.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
46%
Away Win
40%
+6.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İskoçya EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Japonya EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
0.82/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.02/1.00
-37% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -99% / +29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
344 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 81%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
15.0 Crosses 15.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İskoçya
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Japonya
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2 Corners 7
10.10.2009 Japonya Japonya 2-0 HT 0-0 İskoçya İskoçya HAZ
13.05.2006 Japonya Japonya 0-0 HT 0-0 İskoçya İskoçya HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İskoçya
0-1
AWAY Japonya
0.87 xG 2.12
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
410 Passes 535
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
10 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH İskoçya vs Japonya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Japonya squeezed past İskoçya 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Japonya as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, İskoçya had 45% of the ball to Japonya's 55%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 0.87 to 2.12 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Japonya's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Japonya led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for İskoçya and 1.00 for Japonya.

What was the final score of İskoçya vs Japonya?

İskoçya 0-1 Japonya in the Friendlies on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İskoçya vs Japonya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Japonya win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split İskoçya 26%, draw 28%, Japonya 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Japonya), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Japonya) ✓ Under 2.5
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